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However, Anderson has also recovered from all but one of those sticky situations as he has arguably come back stronger in and within every fight.
Where my opinion starts to shift, is when looking the prospects and potential of grappling exchanges. As we have seen with so many young up-and-comers who have wrestling bases, they often fall in love with their striking for better or in the big picture, often worse.
Not only was Anderson able to ground his opponent, but he also was able to keep him down, a problem that has been a persistent theme in looking closely at his previous fights.
Even though I feel that Manuwa has an underrated deep-half game that he uses to create scrambles and stand, the technical specifics of Anderson, coupled with his recent choices, tells me that Manuwa may be in for rough waters should he end up having to work from the bottom.
For that reason, I will be interested to see the way in which Manuwa elects to defend takedowns. Regardless of where this fight takes place, I believe it comes down to who can implement their terms of pressure more effectively.
Though I initially came into this bout leaning toward Manuwa as his pressure is as technical as it is menacing, he is also much more reliant on needing an exact temperature to implement his game.
In both victory and defeat, Manuwa has typically struggled at first or altogether when it comes to establishing his rhythm against moving targets in high-pressure environments.
Despite facing an opponent who can be hittable when he elects to trade, I suspect we will see Anderson continue his trend of transitional grappling to trouble the Englishman.
Although Manuwa has struggled to fight frequently at years of age 1 bout in the last 18 months , he has stayed active in what has subsequently been his quickest turnaround in years.
Training in Sweden with the likes of Alexander Gustafsson, I expect Manuwa to come in top form for this bout.
That said, the Englishman has typically tired the longer fights go as I am not sure how much of that aspect can be adjusted given his frame and sensibilities.
In a main event that can be too close to call with confidence, I will be siding with the more well-rounded fighter in Anderson as I feel his style is better suited for a five-round affair, and could also be a potential on-paper antithesis for a fighter like Manuwa.
With betting trends moving Anderson toward dog money, I would be lying if I told you I was not taking a shot.
Ultimately, I recommend playing this one lightly and enjoying heavily as this matchup will likely tell us a lot about each man moving forward.
With injury precluding his participation in Dublin last November, Gunnar Nelson will make his return in a potential barnburner of a matchup.
Standing in the European prospects way is Alan Jouban, an all-action fighter who has steadily been building his game to make a run toward the Top of the rankings.
Starting off on the feet, we have a battle between two technicians who are not afraid to mix things up.
Like many Karate or traditional martial arts based strikers, Gunnar Nelson demonstrates a preternatural understanding of space as he uses his wide stance to shuffle in and out of range.
In his fights with Rick Story and Zak Cummings, we saw Nelson repeatedly hit by left hands both coming forward and off the counter.
Against a fighter who can counter and come forward well with his left hand, Nelson will have to be especially careful when navigating strike zones with his low-handed standing guard.
A dynamic Muay Thai stylist, Jouban has made his money with excellent combination striking as the working model is not shy when it comes to creating chaos.
Wielding weapons at all ranges from cartwheel kicks to shovel hooks, Jouban demonstrates a superb economy of motion in his movements and accuracy within his shot selection.
That said, I see Jouban being the one who has an advantage the longer this stays standing, which makes me wonder how Nelson will play his hand.
Given that Nelson has admittedly struck with fighters like Rick Story and Albert Tumenov for longer than he should have, we could see him get more than he bargains for if he continues his past trends of low-urgency takedown intentions.
Nevertheless, Nelson should have the clear edge on the floor as I suspect the Renzo Gracie black belt will attempt to ground his opposition.
Applying a pressure-to-pass type top game, Nelson will seamlessly flow his way to the mount position. Despite Jouban having an underrated game off of his back, I see him potentially running into trouble when trying to stand.
Often opting to turtle out and tripod up to a standing position, we have seen Jouban almost have his back taken in recent bouts while attempting to get up.
Although Jouban also demonstrated intelligent technics to prevent these advances, he will be facing a different level of grappler in Nelson, who is a back-taker that thrives when is opposition turtles as he is particularly crafty from a front-headlock.
However, defending takedowns from Nelson who has also improved his takedown game , will only be part of the problem as I feel Jouban may find himself in the pressure cooker anytime he elects to stand.
In a fight where I am siding with the favorite, I do stress caution as I honestly feel that this matchup is a lot closer than the line leads on.
In a potential barnburner in the bantamweight division, Brad Pickett will make his final walk to the cage as he meets Marlon Vera. A fan favorite for many years due to the countless battles he has put on, Brad Pickett will make his swan song in front of a hometown London crowd.
Looking to spoil the party on short notice is Marlon Vera, a man whom many know is fighting for the welfare of his daughter.
Typically showing no mercy from the sound of the first bell, Vera demonstrated a more measured side in his last time out. With a lot of the positive changes for Vera coming by way of Team Oyama, the young fighter honed in his hooks and worked more off of jabs on the feet.
That said, the Ecuadorian fighter still shows to be in the developmental process as I suspect the veteran fighter in Pickett will have a lot to choose from as far as approach goes.
Despite being a willing participant in wars and sporting the crooked nose to show for it, Brad Pickett demonstrates solid fundamental footwork and head movement.
Whether Pickett is changing his angles of attack or slipping and returning, he always moves with a purpose when coming forward.
Working well off of a crouch, Pickett will feint takedowns as he comes up with his patent uppercut-hook combinations. And considering that Pickett has been stopped, dropped, or stunned in 4 of his last 5-fights, it is not hard to see where things can start to go south.
One of the more underrated wrestlers to come out the UK as far MMA is concerned , Pickett wields a solid reactionary double-leg that I see him leaning on when things get hairy.
With the takedown defense statistics being slightly deceiving, Vera has not yet shown to have a strong emphasis for stuffing shots. Often opting to succeed bottom in stanzas through leg scissor attempts or guard pulls, I could see Vera allowing Pickett to work from topside during multiple portions of this fight.
Despite Vera getting most of his submission wins from his back, I still give Pickett the edge on the floor as he usually displays good hand-positioning inside of the guard.
However, Pickett is not beyond his mental lulls as we saw Michael MacDonald catch him with a triangle choke from a simple setup.
Should Pickett sleep on the skills of Vera, it could be another upsettingly short night for him. That said, I feel that the Brit can scramble with the best of them as I see a sober Pickett being difficult to pin down.
Pickett also does a good job of getting up intelligently even when he does end up grounded. Whether he is bellying-down with a hard over-hook or carefully using the cage to assist an under-hook get up, you will seldom see Pickett give his neck or expose his back.
Regardless, Vera has some clear on-paper hurdles headed into this fight with Pickett as I see the old war dog having one last hurrah in what should be a competitive scrap until the end.
Kicking off the main card in London is a fantastic featherweight fight as Arnold Allen squares off with Makwan Amirkhani.
Looking to land on the radar of official rankings, Allen will attempt to derail another rising contender. Seeking to spoil this homecoming is Makwan Amirkhani, who is also amongst the list of future stars for both the featherweight division and Europe alike.
Now training with SBG Ireland, Amirkhani will be aiming to make his arrival known by scoring big on the main stage.
For Amirkhani, this will be his be his first full camp under John Kavanagh as his last outing was a bit of a mixed bag in regards to preparation. Persevering nonetheless, Amirkhani would earn himself a victory over a game Mike Wilkinson.
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The year-old Brit has lost just once in his career and is unbeaten under the UFC banner. Did you go to college and if so what degree did you earn?
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